Elated-Decimal
0x5409c773bea87097db80feff02602e4bab4fc861
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$1.24
Total PnL
$-206.59
Realised
$-2.44
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$1.24
$0.25
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 5°C on January 29?
134 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.67
- YES
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
103 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on January 28?
80 shares @ 24.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-19.89
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on January 30?
49 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.46
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
47 shares @ 84.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-39.83
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on January 28?
45 shares @ 24.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.95
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
40 shares @ 31.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-12.43
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
34 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-19.70
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$1.43Feb 15, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$1.00Feb 15, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$1.00Feb 15, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$5.00Feb 15, 12:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026?$3.22Feb 8, 12:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$3.75Feb 5, 17:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$18.17Feb 5, 17:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$3.35Feb 3, 17:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C or higher on February 3?$5.90Feb 2, 18:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on February 1?$5.70Feb 2, 18:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 34°C or below on February 1?$6.10Feb 2, 18:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?$23.61Feb 2, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be -5°C or higher on February 2?$2.34Feb 2, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be -5°C or higher on February 2?$2.65Feb 2, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C or higher on February 3?$20.00Feb 1, 19:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on February 1?$6.80Feb 1, 19:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on February 1?$7.80Feb 1, 19:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on January 31?$6.60Feb 1, 11:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 31°C on January 31?$5.00Jan 31, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 34°C or below on February 1?$5.00Jan 31, 19:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $4.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 03:26 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 15, 12:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".