Phony-Shower
0x540aa278a8665aff00fe1b13902998cc46bf5023
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-39.79
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease?
200 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will Texas Tech win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?
100 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2025$0.00
$-3.29
- YES
Will the LA Clippers win the Western Conference?
89 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2025$0.00
$-4.36
- YES
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
66 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.17
- YES
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
40 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-2.88
- YES
Will the Houston Rockets win the Western Conference?
29 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $160 end of November?
20 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election?
15 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- PACERS
Pacers vs. Thunder
15 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-4.40
- CREIGHTON
Creighton vs. Auburn
10 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $160 end of November?$2.50Nov 19, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.00Jul 2, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.45Jul 2, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.51Jul 2, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.13Jul 2, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.56Jul 2, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.49Jul 2, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.04Jul 2, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYPacers vs. Thunder$2.00Jun 23, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYPacers vs. Thunder$2.40Jun 23, 01:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kawhi Leonard Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?$0.20May 4, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the LA Clippers win the Western Conference?$2.00Apr 24, 13:11 UTC
- TRADESELLUS 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?$0.72Apr 24, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kawhi Leonard Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?$6.00Apr 24, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease?$0.18Apr 16, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease?$0.06Apr 16, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease?$0.04Apr 16, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease?$0.09Apr 16, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease?$0.05Apr 16, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease?$0.01Apr 16, 06:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 21:49 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 19, 20:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".