0x5410cb488d5e3e542162a4a7fa88611243f17a03
0x5410cb488d5e3e542162a4a7fa88611243f17a03
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
40
Open notional
$2.9K
Total PnL
$437.17
Realised
$51.35
Win rate
67%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
425 shares @ 75.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$425.00
$102.25
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
260 shares @ 86.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$260.00
$34.40
- YES
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
255 shares @ 57.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$255.00
$107.40
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
250 shares @ 75.2¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$248.25
$60.25
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?
240 shares @ 56.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$240.00
$103.64
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
166 shares @ 97.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$166.00
$3.94
- NO
Iran leadership change by March 13?
159 shares @ 93.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$159.00
$10.69
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
151 shares @ 97.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$151.00
$4.02
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?
105 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$105.00
$6.26
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
105 shares @ 94.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$105.00
$5.83
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$7.65Mar 14, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$7.50Mar 14, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$7.50Mar 14, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$7.65Mar 14, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$4.30Mar 14, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYGTA VI released before June 2026?$97.00Mar 14, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$168.00Mar 13, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$150.00Mar 13, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$174.00Mar 13, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$4.30Mar 13, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$38.00Mar 13, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$43.00Mar 13, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$39.50Mar 13, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?$9.93Mar 12, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?$9.12Mar 12, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?$9.12Mar 12, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?$8.55Mar 12, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?$9.12Mar 12, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?$9.12Mar 12, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?$9.69Mar 12, 20:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $37.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 10, 16:23 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 14, 21:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.