Graceful-Roller
0x5414795eb05e707c3bab5f8f1b71f806a95a5c0c
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$287.33
Total PnL
$-20.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?
69 shares @ 87.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$68.58
$8.58
- YES
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
55 shares @ 72.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$55.14
$15.14
- YES
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
39 shares @ 51.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$39.14
$19.14
- NO
Will 'Zootopia 2' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
22 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$21.51
$1.51
- NO
Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
21 shares @ 95.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$20.92
$0.92
- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: Conspiracy Edition
21 shares @ 96.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$20.73
$0.73
- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition
13 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$13.16
$3.16
- NO
Another US military action against Iran before 2026?
12 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$12.35
$2.35
- NO
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?
11 shares @ 89.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$11.15
$1.15
- NO
Iran Nuke in 2025?
11 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.64
$0.64
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$5.00Nov 19, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Uspenivka by October 31?$5.94Nov 19, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMChoo Kyung-ho in jail by October 31?$7.35Nov 19, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMTrump pause or remove 100k H-1B policy by October 31?$9.09Nov 19, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Iraq by October 31?$11.24Nov 19, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMTrump approval Up or Down this week?$5.81Oct 24, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: Conspiracy Edition$20.00Oct 17, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump approval Up or Down this week?$5.00Oct 17, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMGaza or Ukraine ceasefire first?$11.76Oct 10, 05:03 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael withdraws from Gaza in 2025?$18.07Oct 9, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Uspenivka by October 31?$5.00Oct 8, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US military action against Iran before 2026?$10.00Oct 7, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?$20.00Oct 7, 06:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump invoke War Powers again by October 31?$10.34Oct 7, 06:09 UTC
- TRADESELLTaylor Swift holds top ten spots on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of October 18th?$5.62Oct 6, 05:03 UTC
- REDEEMSPOLU wins 20% or more of vote in Czech election?$17.54Oct 6, 04:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Přísaha get less than 3% of the vote in the Czech election?$21.28Oct 6, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?$20.00Oct 4, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Zootopia 2' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$20.00Oct 4, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$20.00Oct 4, 19:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $15.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 7, 20:57 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 19, 06:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.