Good-Waterspout
0x541573d401cf698c6a9eec531c5f6b88cdee38d6
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$70.67
Total PnL
$-30.47
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on April 28?
14 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$13.99
$0.14
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 2?
13 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$13.00
$0.13
- NO
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
13 shares @ 98.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$12.67
$-0.07
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on April 30?
11 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$11.00
$0.22
- NO
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?
10 shares @ 92.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$10.00
$0.73
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on May 2?
10 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$10.00
$0.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 66°F or higher on April 24?
15 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on April 26?
15 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-0.24
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on April 27?
15 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on April 21?
15 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-0.30
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?$10.92Jun 14, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?$10.48Jun 14, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?$12.75Jun 14, 00:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13?$11.00Jun 13, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13?$0.06Jun 13, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13?$0.05Jun 13, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13?$10.90Jun 13, 05:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on June 12?$10.00Jun 13, 03:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 12?$10.00Jun 12, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on June 12?$0.06Jun 12, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on June 12?$0.06Jun 12, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 12?$0.20Jun 12, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 12?$9.81Jun 12, 08:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 11?$13.00Jun 11, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on June 12?$9.90Jun 11, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 11?$0.26Jun 10, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 11?$12.75Jun 10, 18:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on June 9?$11.00Jun 9, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on June 9?$0.22Jun 9, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on June 9?$10.79Jun 9, 03:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $5.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 14:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 03:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.