Celebrated-Silence
0x541aec7cee3361ab3f63a892740b65e28a54c593
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$8.01
Total PnL
$-19.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
250 shares @ 3.1¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$6.35
$-1.40
- YES
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
95 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.66
$0.05
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 21, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
5126 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-2.6K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
2568 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 21, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
2567 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 21, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
2567 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 21, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
2567 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 22, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
2567 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 21, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
2567 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
2566 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.61Mar 30, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.75Mar 30, 03:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill The Great Divide - Noah Kahan be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$16.00Mar 30, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Great Divide - Noah Kahan be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$15.87Feb 5, 08:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$1.01Feb 5, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$1.01Feb 5, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill With Heaven on Top by Zach Bryan be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of January 24?$1.01Feb 5, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?$1.05Feb 5, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.05Feb 5, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for January 20 be less than 2,300,000?$1.06Feb 5, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?$1.06Feb 5, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Rip" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (January 20, 2026)$1.08Feb 5, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for January 17 be less than 2,400,000?$1.09Feb 5, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Rip" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (January 20, 2026)$1.11Feb 5, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?$2.03Feb 5, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?$29.00Feb 5, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?$15.66Jan 15, 02:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Spongebob Movie: Search for SquarePants" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 18m?$2.04Jan 15, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$199.09Jan 15, 02:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $579.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 22, 04:01 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".