Harmonious-Planning
0x541ce4a5104a6d110b6610d869851bee3f85c462
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$228.63
Total PnL
$-3.5K
Realised
$-783.99
Win rate
94%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will the March 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?
167 shares @ 10.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$166.88
$150.19
- NO
Will the US lose between 100k and 150k jobs in March?
62 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$61.75
$4.94
- YES
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
12754 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-127.47
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
10000 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-144.59
- YES
Will four or more people dissent the September Fed decision?
3541 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-113.94
- YES
Will the US add between 75k and 100k jobs in September?
2159 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-74.57
- YES
Will the US add between 50k and 75k jobs in September?
1559 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 3, 2025$0.00
$-130.74
- YES
Will the December 2025 unemployment rate be 4.5%?
1500 shares @ 31.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-475.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?
1500 shares @ 16.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-245.97
- YES
Will four or more people dissent the December Fed decision?
1400 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-107.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US lose between 0 and 50k jobs in March?$7.93Apr 3, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in March?$28.17Apr 3, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in March?$62.15Apr 3, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the March 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?$63.13Apr 3, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the March 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?$35.99Apr 3, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the March 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?$18.01Apr 3, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the March 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?$11.42Apr 3, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the March 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?$13.49Apr 3, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the March 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?$40.50Apr 3, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US lose between 100k and 150k jobs in March?$34.50Apr 3, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US lose between 100k and 150k jobs in March?$11.50Apr 3, 12:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US add at least 100k jobs in March?$40.00Apr 3, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US lose between 100k and 150k jobs in March?$10.79Apr 3, 12:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US add at least 100k jobs in March?$3.93Apr 3, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in March?$0.68Apr 3, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US lose between 0 and 50k jobs in March?$0.38Apr 3, 11:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US add at least 100k jobs in March?$1.35Apr 3, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the March 2026 unemployment rate be 4.5%?$17.14Apr 3, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the March 2026 unemployment rate be 4.5%?$2.63Apr 3, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the March 2026 unemployment rate be 4.5%?$0.93Apr 3, 09:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $10.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 19:22 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 3, 12:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".