0x541efcc66d40e035864f01f44718c783a94c54de
0x541efcc66d40e035864f01f44718c783a94c54de
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$60.55
Total PnL
$-17.41
Realised
$-11.18
Win rate
29%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in March 2026?
59 shares @ 17.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$58.82
$48.83
- YES
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?
77 shares @ 12.8¢·now 2.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.73
$-8.11
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 18?
250 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on March 18?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Megaquake by March 31?
53 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on March 18?
49 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.86
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C or higher on March 19?
42 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on March 18?
26 shares @ 36.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-9.54
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 62-63°F on March 19?
26 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-0.96
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C or higher on March 18?
17 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.68
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 19?$0.96Mar 18, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 19?$2.09Mar 18, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 19?$1.95Mar 18, 16:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on March 19?$2.52Mar 18, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on March 19?$7.39Mar 18, 15:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 19?$5.60Mar 18, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 19?$2.30Mar 18, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 19?$7.70Mar 18, 15:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C or higher on March 19?$3.47Mar 18, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C or higher on March 19?$7.75Mar 18, 15:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in March 2026?$2.03Mar 18, 11:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 38-39°F on March 18?$2.23Mar 18, 06:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on March 18?$2.45Mar 18, 05:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on March 18?$3.59Mar 18, 05:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on March 18?$6.44Mar 18, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 18?$0.20Mar 18, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 18?$0.20Mar 18, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 18?$0.20Mar 18, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 18?$8.00Mar 18, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 18?$0.20Mar 18, 05:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 02:46 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 17:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".