Shady-Quartet
0x54222179355921ab1c39004778f61d6c303e13b9
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
53
Open notional
$100.39
Total PnL
$-222.92
Realised
$-24.89
Win rate
20%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
20 shares @ 40.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$10.10
$2.10
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
20 shares @ 40.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$10.10
$2.10
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
20 shares @ 40.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$10.10
$2.10
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
20 shares @ 39.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$10.10
$2.30
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
20 shares @ 40.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$10.10
$2.10
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
20 shares @ 40.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$10.09
$2.10
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
20 shares @ 40.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$9.90
$1.90
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
20 shares @ 40.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$9.90
$1.90
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
10 shares @ 40.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$5.05
$1.05
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
10 shares @ 40.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$5.05
$1.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$4.17Jun 22, 09:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$10.00Jun 22, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$8.00Jun 22, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$4.00Jun 22, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$2.00Jun 22, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$2.00Jun 22, 09:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$20.00Jun 22, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$2.47Jun 22, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$1.53Jun 22, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$1.63Jun 22, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$6.37Jun 22, 08:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$9.99Jun 22, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$7.11Jun 22, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$1.96Jun 22, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$2.03Jun 22, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$0.17Jun 22, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$3.83Jun 22, 08:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$10.00Jun 22, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$8.00Jun 22, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$4.00Jun 22, 08:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
41/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
20% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 39/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $4.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 06:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 09:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.