0x5424d40d3deef5b2dabede19ec0d385bd889b09b
0x5424d40d3deef5b2dabede19ec0d385bd889b09b
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
118
Open notional
$15.97
Total PnL
$-15.4K
Realised
$-3.2K
Win rate
18%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 118- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
15 shares @ 78.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$15.32
$3.32
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the HI-02 House seat?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.65
$-0.35
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
15000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?
3096 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score
2743 shares @ 52.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- YES
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-22?
2649 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-185.44
- YES
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?
2564 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-1000.00
- NO
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-15?
2273 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?
1935 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-13.02
- YES
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?
1731 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?$124.65May 30, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$5.08May 12, 13:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-04-29?$18.64Apr 30, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$12.19Apr 29, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$10.00Apr 27, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-04-29?$10.00Apr 27, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atalanta BC win on 2026-04-27?$9.99Apr 27, 10:39 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$138.67Apr 24, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$115.10Apr 21, 07:10 UTC
- REDEEMChelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5$65.43Apr 20, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYChelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5$40.55Apr 18, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-04-16?$100.00Apr 16, 15:04 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$10.25Apr 12, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?$681.83Apr 11, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?$547.35Apr 11, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?$36.90Apr 11, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?$1.04Apr 11, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?$2.37Apr 11, 12:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?$1.3KApr 11, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?$2.0KApr 11, 11:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $320.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 10, 13:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 16:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".