Courageous-Duel
0x542b5e21218945d31154727de9bae8de1fd3468d
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-384.85
Realised
$-132.42
Win rate
0%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on July 10?
193 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.35
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $2.00 and $2.10 on January 27?
177 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.48
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on July 3?
171 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.59
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on March 23?
157 shares @ 27.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-42.47
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - January 20, 7PM ET
144 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.16
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on March 25?
137 shares @ 27.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-37.10
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 27?
135 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.48
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 22?
104 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on January 28?
102 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.53
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 22?
92 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.86
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on August 13?$202.66Aug 13, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on August 13?$0.16Aug 13, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on August 13?$199.26Aug 13, 00:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 12?$170.33Jul 12, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 12?$0.33Jul 11, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 12?$168.30Jul 11, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on July 10?$1.44Jul 9, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on July 3?$3.83Jul 2, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on June 3?$1.90Jun 2, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 31?$1.74May 30, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 27?$1.71May 26, 21:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 24?$165.70May 24, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 24?$0.25May 24, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 24?$163.63May 23, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 19?$1.64May 18, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 15?$2.11May 14, 16:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 11?$219.73May 11, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 11?$218.19May 11, 02:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 26?$212.86May 1, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 26?$211.37Apr 25, 19:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $59.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 00:35 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 13, 16:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.