Key-Disco
0x542d67d1f917acebeb22b5ce733c68f20b738999
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
40
Open notional
$6.77
Total PnL
$-880.49
Realised
$420.04
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- YES
Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
542 shares @ 9.2¢·now 1.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.77
$-43.23
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
12270 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-19.99
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
7803 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
3818 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?
3521 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-230.15
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 640-679 tweets in March 2026?
3301 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
2389 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-134.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
1947 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 760-799 tweets in March 2026?
1501 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$5.24May 25, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$15.74May 25, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$20.98May 25, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$20.98May 25, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$20.00Mar 13, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$20.00Mar 13, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$20.00Mar 13, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?$10.00Feb 17, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYMen's Round of 16 - Switzerland vs. Italy$1.00Feb 17, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYMen's Round of 16 - Germany vs. France$10.00Feb 17, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?$30.00Feb 17, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?$30.00Feb 17, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$322.63Feb 17, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$20.00Feb 16, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$25.00Feb 16, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$15.00Feb 16, 17:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$255.12Feb 16, 17:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$103.23Feb 16, 14:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$41.58Feb 16, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$50.00Feb 14, 18:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $88.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 8, 10:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 18:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".