Guilty-Formicarium
0x5431754d0732ee75b2729fbd845fdacca57ff3f4
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$204.55
Total PnL
$-1.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Tabi FDV above $3B one day after launch?
53 shares @ 99.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$51.91
$-0.56
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?
54 shares @ 96.2¢·now 95.9¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$51.76
$-0.19
- NO
Will Qatar win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
53 shares @ 98.1¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$51.70
$-0.29
- NO
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
50 shares @ 98.4¢·now 98.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$49.17
$-0.03
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMOver $6M committed to the Printr public sale?$50.00Jun 2, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?$51.95Jun 2, 09:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYTabi FDV above $3B one day after launch?$52.47Jun 1, 08:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 30, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?$48.00May 29, 23:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 29, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51.99May 28, 08:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 27, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?$48.90May 26, 07:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 25, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?$0.98May 24, 11:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 24, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?$49.25May 23, 03:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 23, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $36.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 12:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".