Incomplete-Innovation
0x543ae52c47f613bc5291a8b28619ad47ad1e871c
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-71.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
9785 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-9.99
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 4?
737 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
543 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Ukraine come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?
472 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?
398 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?
322 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?
133 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?$25.00May 19, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$5.00May 19, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?$15.73May 16, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?$2.00Mar 4, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?$5.00Mar 4, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 4?$10.00Mar 4, 19:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill GTA 6 cost $100+?$0.00Mar 4, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$10.00Feb 20, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GTA 6 cost $100+?$20.00Feb 19, 12:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $11.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 19, 12:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 12:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.