Ill-Fated-Anticipation
0x543d6bad073778035ed77fed596a2d9649e0b447
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-107.63
Realised
$-3.62
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump and Elon say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during their Feb 18 interview?
122 shares @ 20.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?
78 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-43.00
- YES
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before July?
73 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
Will Trump and Elon say "TikTok" during their Feb 18 interview?
51 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?$43.00Feb 16, 19:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?$43.13Feb 16, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?$45.00Feb 16, 19:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?$46.37Feb 16, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before July?$16.00Feb 16, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?$50.00Feb 16, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Elon say "TikTok" during their Feb 18 interview?$20.00Feb 16, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Elon say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during their Feb 18 interview?$25.00Feb 16, 19:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jerome Powell say "Trump" during December FOMC Press Conference?$0.00Dec 20, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jerome Powell say "inflation" 40 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?$0.00Dec 20, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jerome Powell say "good afternoon" during December FOMC Press Conference?$0.00Dec 20, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMMSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment? $0.00Dec 20, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?$0.00Dec 20, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jerome Powell say "Trump" during December FOMC Press Conference?$0.00Dec 20, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jerome Powell say "inflation" 40 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?$0.00Dec 20, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jerome Powell say "good afternoon" during December FOMC Press Conference?$0.00Dec 20, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMMSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment? $0.00Dec 20, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?$10.23Dec 20, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell say "Trump" during December FOMC Press Conference?$1.71Dec 18, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell say "inflation" 40 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?$3.00Dec 18, 17:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $26.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 10, 12:22 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 16, 19:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".