Wary-Placement
0x543d88dcadc559f896b0c5e854477ba54da76665
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$26.69
Total PnL
$-5.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
18 shares @ 54.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$18.45
$8.45
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
9 shares @ 56.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.74
$1.74
- YES
Will London have between 70-80mm of precipitation in June?
5 shares @ 36.5¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.51
$-0.49
- YES
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 9?
67 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Address to the Nation?
63 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 6?
45 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 5?
43 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 8?
35 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 7?
28 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump’s approval rating be at least 41.0 on April 3, 2026?
22 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill London have between 70-80mm of precipitation in June?$2.06May 31, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 9?$1.00Apr 26, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 9?$1.00Apr 26, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 8?$1.00Apr 26, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 7?$1.00Apr 26, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 6?$1.00Apr 26, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 5?$1.00Apr 26, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$5.00Apr 25, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$10.00Apr 22, 05:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump’s approval rating be between 39.0 and 39.4 on April 3, 2026?$9.09Apr 5, 01:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Operation Epic Fury" during Address to the Nation?$0.00Apr 3, 01:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Operation Epic Fury" during Address to the Nation?$0.00Apr 3, 01:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Obama" during Address to the Nation?$3.23Apr 3, 01:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Melania say "Challenge" during Fostering the Future Together event on March 24?$0.00Apr 2, 02:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Mad" this week? (April 5)$0.00Apr 2, 00:38 UTC
- REDEEMCrude Oil all time high by March 31?$0.00Apr 2, 00:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Melania say "Challenge" during Fostering the Future Together event on March 24?$0.00Apr 2, 00:38 UTC
- REDEEMTrump cabinet member out by March 31, 2026?$0.00Apr 2, 00:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Nancy" or "Pelosi" this week? (March 22)$0.00Apr 2, 00:38 UTC
- REDEEMCrude Oil all time high by March 31?$0.00Apr 2, 00:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $2.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 25, 04:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 19:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".