Flimsy-Facet
0x5447d7460baef22a0304f81557c3ae19baccb285
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$4.89
Total PnL
$-0.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$2.50
$1.50
- NO
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested before April?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$1.25
$0.25
- NO
Will the Raiders hire Ben Johnson as their next head coach?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2025$1.14
$0.14
- YES
Will Manchester City win the UEFA Champions League?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Yoon arrested by Friday?
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Jannik Sinner reach the quarterfinals of the Australian Open?$1.16Feb 13, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYYoon out as president of South Korea before April?$1.00Jan 13, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSouth Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested before April?$1.00Jan 13, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYYoon arrested by Friday?$1.00Jan 13, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jannik Sinner reach the quarterfinals of the Australian Open?$1.00Jan 13, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Raiders hire Ben Johnson as their next head coach?$1.00Jan 13, 05:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $90,000 on November 22?$1.30Jan 13, 05:33 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum above $3,300 on January 3?$1.22Jan 13, 05:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $100k in November?$1.52Jan 13, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $3,300 on January 3?$1.00Jan 2, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City win the UEFA Champions League?$1.00Dec 11, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $100k in November?$1.00Nov 20, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $90,000 on November 22?$1.00Nov 20, 03:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
9 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 20, 03:46 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 13, 03:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.