Muted-Log
0x5460282702eb6c7e83ac92608e736cbdcf738f5b
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$40.51
Total PnL
$-31.49
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will NSC be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?
10 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$10.00
$0.11
- YES
Will D66 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?
8 shares @ 94.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$8.02
$0.42
- YES
Will VVD be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?
8 shares @ 94.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$7.82
$0.43
- NO
Another US bank failure by February 28?
5 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$5.00
$0.70
- NO
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 86.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.88
$0.57
- NO
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 2m barrels per day in 2026?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 95.9¢·exp Feb 28, 2027$4.79
$0.10
- YES
Will Leavitt say "American people" 5+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?
40 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will the US strike Syria next?
26 shares @ 58.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-15.11
- YES
Tim Walz charged by March 31, 2026?
22 shares @ 17.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.94
- YES
Will Leavitt say "President" 65+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill UpScrolled be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?$5.00Feb 15, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMGPT ads by March 31?$8.00Feb 15, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UpScrolled be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?$4.91Feb 1, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US bank failure by February 28?$4.30Feb 1, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leavitt say "American people" 5+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?$1.20Jan 26, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leavitt say "Fed" or "Federal Reserve" during the next White House Press Briefing?$1.00Jan 26, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leavitt say "President" 65+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?$1.00Jan 26, 18:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of January 19 above $7.00?$5.00Jan 24, 16:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of January 19 above $265?$10.11Jan 24, 16:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of January 19 above $9.50?$15.00Jan 24, 16:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in January 2026?$5.90Jan 22, 19:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill anyone audibly fart during Trump's WEF 2026 speech?$9.00Jan 21, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone audibly fart during Trump's WEF 2026 speech?$2.95Jan 21, 14:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in January 2026?$2.94Jan 21, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in January 2026?$4.90Jan 21, 14:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$4.91Jan 21, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in January 2026?$2.63Jan 21, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of January 19 above $7.00?$3.60Jan 21, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of January 19 above $265?$0.10Jan 21, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of January 19 above $265?$9.51Jan 21, 12:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $3.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 17, 12:55 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 15, 09:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.