Absolute-Subsidence
0x5460a7a2f88b54f350339fe01d37c56f44e62766
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$27.38
Total PnL
$-278.27
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
9 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$8.83
$0.01
- SAN DIEGO PADRES
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)
7 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$7.40
$2.96
- HOUSTON ASTROS
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)
7 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$7.40
$3.26
- RAMON TAVERAS
UFC Fight Night: Zhu Kangjie vs. Ramon Taveras (Featherweight, Prelims)
8 shares @ 49.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.75
$0.07
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
508 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-254.00
- UMASS
Spread: Northern Illinois (-10.5)
8 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-3.92
- NEW YORK YANKEES
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)
7 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.95
- ARIZONA STATE
Spread: Arizona State (-11.5)
7 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-3.57
- CELTICS
Celtics vs. 76ers
6 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-2.88
- UNDER
Heat vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5
6 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-3.24
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Zhu Kangjie vs. Ramon Taveras (Featherweight, Prelims)$0.59May 26, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Zhu Kangjie vs. Ramon Taveras (Featherweight, Prelims)$3.09May 26, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$8.82May 18, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)$3.58May 16, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)$0.56May 16, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)$0.72May 16, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)$3.72May 16, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: New York Yankees (-1.5)$2.62May 16, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: New York Yankees (-1.5)$0.33May 16, 11:01 UTC
- REDEEMValentin vs. McVey$2.50May 15, 04:43 UTC
- REDEEMCroden vs. Santos$3.50May 15, 04:43 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)$8.00May 15, 04:43 UTC
- REDEEMWest Virginia vs. Arizona State: O/U 48.5$8.00May 15, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)$4.32Nov 13, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: UTSA Roadrunners (-18.5)$2.55Nov 13, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWest Virginia vs. Arizona State: O/U 48.5$3.24Nov 13, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWest Virginia vs. Arizona State: O/U 48.5$1.08Nov 13, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Arizona State (-11.5)$3.57Nov 13, 18:27 UTC
- REDEEMNascimento vs. Estevam$4.00Nov 13, 18:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4PM ET$5.00Nov 13, 18:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $9.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 26, 16:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 26, 08:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.