Simplistic-Outlook
0x546790029fe260314099a9d5e71858b71226ffff
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
79
Open notional
$7.27
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 79- YES
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.25
$1.25
- YES
Will Harvey Weinstein be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
34 shares @ 14.6¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.73
$-4.27
- YES
Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
27 shares @ 18.3¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.29
$-4.71
- YES
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
150 shares @ 46.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
- AVALANCHE
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)
95 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- STARS
Spread: Stars (-1.5)
80 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- ISLANDERS
Kings vs. Islanders
77 shares @ 32.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- CANADIENS
Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)
72 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-28.10
- BRUINS
Spread: Bruins (-1.5)
65 shares @ 30.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- FLYERS
Rangers vs. Flyers
59 shares @ 33.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Stars (-1.5)$22.24Mar 16, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Senators (-1.5)$0.00Mar 16, 03:30 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Senators (-1.5)$22.22Mar 16, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Panthers (-1.5)$10.00Mar 15, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Wild (-1.5)$20.00Mar 15, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYDucks vs. Canadiens$12.00Mar 15, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Canadiens (-1.5)$10.00Mar 15, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Senators (-1.5)$10.00Mar 15, 20:45 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Golden Knights (-1.5)$21.74Mar 15, 20:40 UTC
- TRADESELLRed Wings vs. Stars$40.28Mar 15, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Stars (-1.5)$22.75Mar 14, 23:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $22.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 12, 04:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".