Unique-Evaporation
0x54731d6c5eb0c84eb11da468ff72403aa9fec293
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$38.25
Total PnL
$-2.7K
Realised
$61.62
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
49 shares @ 77.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$38.25
$0.25
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
1221 shares @ 27.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-330.30
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
995 shares @ 46.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-459.68
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
818 shares @ 39.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-323.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
646 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-394.34
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
471 shares @ 41.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-197.04
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
400 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-276.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
348 shares @ 56.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-196.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
300 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-25.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
242 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-191.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$38.00Jun 22, 18:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$0.01May 13, 19:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$0.00May 13, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$25.28May 13, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$25.30May 13, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$101.22May 13, 18:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$120.83May 13, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$104.59May 13, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$104.64May 13, 18:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$260.88May 13, 18:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$0.00May 13, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$25.34May 13, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$25.31May 13, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$25.40May 13, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$25.77May 13, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$25.77May 13, 18:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$96.29May 13, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$25.62May 13, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$25.63May 13, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$103.71May 13, 18:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $92.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 18:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 18:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.