0x547d01750900713ea1999927b6210f7caac99edc
0x547d01750900713ea1999927b6210f7caac99edc
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-488.38
Realised
$-1.52
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on May 22?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 22?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C or higher on May 22?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on May 22?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 22?
973 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on May 22?
682 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on May 22?
660 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on May 22?
519 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 21?
63 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 11?$2.71Jun 11, 23:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on June 11?$2.80Jun 11, 19:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 11?$2.74Jun 11, 13:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 11?$3.27Jun 11, 05:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 10?$3.76Jun 11, 00:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 10?$2.99Jun 10, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 11?$1.66Jun 10, 16:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 10?$2.74Jun 10, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 11?$1.95Jun 10, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 11?$2.38Jun 10, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on June 11?$2.07Jun 10, 12:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 10?$5.46Jun 10, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 10?$3.46Jun 10, 11:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 10?$2.46Jun 10, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on June 10?$1.84Jun 10, 10:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 10?$2.47Jun 10, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 10?$4.23Jun 10, 09:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on June 10?$4.71Jun 10, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 10?$2.55Jun 10, 08:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 10?$2.82Jun 10, 08:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 8, 21:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 23:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.