Definitive-Elicit
0x547f0de4cbeb34ef212ca35ef54bf469dd7e016d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-459.96
Realised
$-1.60
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
472 shares @ 14.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-69.30
- YES
Will Gibraltar win on 2025-11-14?
100 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-6.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
90 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-2.61
- YES
Will Donald or Melania Trump say "Darling" or "Sweetie" during executive order signing events on November 13?
83 shares @ 39.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-32.60
- NO
Will Trump say "Gobble" or "Waddle" 10+ times at the Turkey Pardon on Tuesday?
71 shares @ 49.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-34.90
- OVER 2.5
Alcaraz vs. Sinner: Total Sets O/U 2.5
70 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-31.50
- YES
Arsenal vs. Brentford: Both Teams to Score
66 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-31.00
- PISTONS
Spread: Pistons (-10.5)
64 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-30.08
- OVER
Clippers vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 106.5
60 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-33.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?
59 shares @ 32.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-19.41
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$10.20Dec 19, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$0.24Dec 19, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$8.97Dec 19, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Knicks (-4.5)$19.60Dec 18, 23:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$5.04Dec 18, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$12.12Dec 18, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$8.96Dec 15, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$3.71Dec 15, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?$5.25Dec 15, 22:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?$7.07Dec 11, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?$7.49Dec 11, 21:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$0.85Dec 9, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$3.94Dec 9, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$14.11Dec 8, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$1.31Dec 8, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$0.73Dec 8, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$5.07Dec 8, 13:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$20.40Dec 6, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$0.32Dec 6, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$0.86Dec 6, 14:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $10.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 2, 23:59 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 19, 13:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".