0x548ffea4c98312d09d1737b0c0f33a0dc8aed413
0x548ffea4c98312d09d1737b0c0f33a0dc8aed413
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$61.43
Total PnL
$-71.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump say "NATO" during Norway PM events on April 24?
38 shares @ 24.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2025$37.73
$28.57
- NO
Will the Steelers draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft?
20 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2025$20.00
$4.80
- NO
Will the Raiders draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft?
4 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2025$3.70
$2.00
- YES
Will the Raiders draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft?
120 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2025$0.00
$-57.60
- YES
Will Trump say "NATO" during Norway PM events on April 24?
45 shares @ 81.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2025$0.00
$-36.86
- YES
Will Trump say "Investment" during Norway PM events on April 24?
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump attend F1 Miami GP?
5 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.90
Recent activity
- REWARD$4.52Apr 27, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Raiders draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft?$9.60Apr 26, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Raiders draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft?$9.60Apr 26, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Raiders draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft?$9.60Apr 26, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Raiders draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft?$9.60Apr 26, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Raiders draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft?$9.60Apr 26, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Raiders draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft?$9.60Apr 26, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Raiders draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft?$1.70Apr 26, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Steelers draft Shedeur Sanders in the 2025 NFL Draft?$15.20Apr 26, 09:20 UTC
- REWARD$3.35Apr 25, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Investment" during Norway PM events on April 24?$10.00Apr 24, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "NATO" during Norway PM events on April 24?$16.40Apr 24, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "NATO" during Norway PM events on April 24?$16.20Apr 24, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "NATO" during Norway PM events on April 24?$5.52Apr 24, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "NATO" during Norway PM events on April 24?$1.56Apr 24, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "NATO" during Norway PM events on April 24?$1.56Apr 24, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "NATO" during Norway PM events on April 24?$0.52Apr 24, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "NATO" during Norway PM events on April 24?$4.26Apr 24, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump attend F1 Miami GP?$1.90Apr 24, 12:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
17 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $7.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 12:00 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.