Unwieldy-Voter
0x5492d499a662490f8c31fd3e314198aefc72d420
Wallet digest
Activity score
33/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$1.10
Total PnL
$-302.26
Realised
$-7.67
Win rate
0%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
20 shares @ 13.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.10
$-1.51
- NONGSHIM RED FORCE
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner
106 shares @ 56.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
79 shares @ 38.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Nagoya Grampus win on 2026-08-08?
61 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Nagoya Grampus vs. Shimizu S-Pulse end in a draw?
54 shares @ 37.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NONGSHIM RED FORCE
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group
50 shares @ 39.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UNDER
Yokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 4.5
50 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- OVER
Games Total: O/U 2.5
42 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UNDER
Gamba Ōsaka vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 4.5
37 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NONGSHIM RED FORCE
Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)
35 shares @ 57.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?$2.61Aug 16, 11:45 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Kashima Antlers 1 - 1 Nagoya Grampus?$2.12Aug 11, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$0.00Aug 9, 04:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$0.00Aug 9, 04:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$0.00Aug 9, 04:46 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner$0.00Aug 9, 04:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$0.00Aug 9, 04:46 UTC
- REDEEMYokohama F·Marinos vs. Kashima Antlers: O/U 5.5$0.00Aug 9, 04:46 UTC
- REDEEMSanfrecce Hiroshima vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 2.5$0.00Aug 9, 04:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tottenham Hotspur win on 2026-08-08?$0.00Aug 9, 04:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$0.00Aug 9, 04:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-08-08?$0.00Aug 9, 04:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$0.00Aug 8, 17:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$0.00Aug 8, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$182.12Aug 8, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$51.73Aug 8, 17:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$0.00Aug 8, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$10.45Aug 8, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$20.84Aug 8, 17:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$66.67Aug 8, 17:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $52.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 8, 12:00 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 16, 11:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.