Salty-Mascara
0x549eefd445768f5cc0941dadeb24d1ee409d4a93
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$2.44
Total PnL
$-5.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on May 1?
2 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$2.44
$0.44
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
29 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on April 29?
21 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on April 30?
7 shares @ 14.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on April 29?
5 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on May 1?$2.02Apr 29, 11:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 28?$0.00Apr 29, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on April 30?$1.04Apr 29, 09:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$1.22Apr 29, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on April 29?$2.04Apr 28, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 28?$1.05Apr 28, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on April 29?$1.02Apr 28, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on April 29?$1.05Apr 28, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$1.01Apr 28, 15:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$0.00Apr 28, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$1.03Apr 28, 14:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$1.37Apr 28, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$1.02Apr 28, 14:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$1.13Apr 28, 11:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$1.46Apr 28, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$1.00Apr 28, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$1.00Apr 28, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$1.06Apr 28, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$1.00Apr 28, 10:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$1.04Apr 28, 10:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $1.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 08:33 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 11:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.