0x54a21457ab32ffbe596306b0d0b4697fefa8757c
0x54a21457ab32ffbe596306b0d0b4697fefa8757c
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$60.00
Total PnL
$-155.65
Realised
$-9.15
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
Will Putin be reelected?
40 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2024$40.00
$4.00
- YES
George Santos expelled in 2023?
20 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2023$20.00
$11.00
- NO
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03°C or higher)
260 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2023$0.00
$-10.14
- YES
Temporary ceasefire for hostages deal by Nov 10?
220 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2023$0.00
$-7.28
- YES
Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 15?
160 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2023$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Egypt accept >1k Gazan refugees by Nov 15?
100 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2023$0.00
$-7.80
- YES
Will 'The Marvels' gross more than $65 million domestically on its opening weekend?
60 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2023$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Manchester United make it out of their group?
60 shares @ 31.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2023$0.00
$-18.85
- YES
American aid to Israel by Nov 15?
60 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2023$0.00
$-3.40
- YES
Will ETH hit $2,500 by EOY?
60 shares @ 32.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2023$0.00
$-19.40
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Zelensky visit Israel by Nov 10?$0.00Nov 23, 18:01 UTC
- REDEEMArgentina Presidential Election: Will Sergio Massa win?$0.00Nov 23, 17:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'The Marvels' gross more than $55 million domestically on its opening weekend?$0.00Nov 23, 17:35 UTC
- REDEEMRavens vs. Bengals$15.07Nov 23, 17:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's Starship lift 500m from pad by Nov 19?$20.00Nov 23, 17:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a hurricane make landfall in the US in November?$0.20Nov 23, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hezbollah officially join the war in 2023?$2.00Nov 23, 10:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31?$1.40Nov 23, 09:39 UTC
- TRADESELLIceland volcanic eruption by Nov 30?$7.20Nov 23, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYIceland volcanic eruption by Nov 30?$7.80Nov 23, 00:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia & Ukraine declare a ceasefire by EOY?$2.91Nov 23, 00:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its December meeting?$0.20Nov 22, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a hurricane make landfall in the US in November?$0.13Nov 22, 09:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eric Adams resign by Nov 30?$0.20Nov 22, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill VVD win a plurality in the 2023 Dutch General Election?$6.00Nov 22, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI board out by end of week?$5.20Nov 22, 03:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed raise rates again in 2023?$0.20Nov 22, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ETH hit $2,500 by EOY?$6.80Nov 22, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUY[Single Market] Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?$1.56Nov 22, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Tears of the Kingdom' win Game of the Year?$4.00Nov 22, 02:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $5.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 16, 12:02 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 23, 18:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".