Cuddly-Requirement
0x54ae6bb570cb04ee4d84088eda5400099a4c481f
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-15.1K
Realised
$747.51
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Solana above $225 on December 20?
24359 shares @ 38.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2024$0.00
$-9.4K
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 26?
4463 shares @ 67.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-3.0K
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on November 13?
2897 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-2.2K
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 29?
2382 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1000.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on November 14?
200 shares @ 53.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-106.74
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 24?
140 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-78.28
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on November 3?
87 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-48.05
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?
1 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2024$0.00
$-0.50
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.