New-Rhetoric
0x54b0da248c4d4831af3142c66b83d4a32fdd98d0
Wallet digest
Activity score
34/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
72
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-584.21
Win rate
10%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 72- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 13, 12AM ET
198 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-24.33
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 13, 5PM ET
182 shares @ 68.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-124.89
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12AM ET
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2025$0.00
$-0.10
- FNATIC
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Fnatic (BO1)
80 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025$0.00
$-2.40
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 12, 11PM ET
61 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-9.81
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 9AM ET
40 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 16, 5PM ET
36 shares @ 66.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-23.64
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 25, 7PM ET
36 shares @ 79.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-28.40
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 12, 12AM ET
33 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-20.55
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 15, 6AM ET
32 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-19.46
Recent activity
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 25, 9AM ET$0.29May 28, 11:18 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 17, 2PM ET$10.00May 28, 11:18 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 15, 7PM ET$16.36May 28, 11:18 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 11, 3PM ET$25.41May 28, 11:18 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 22, 7PM ET$130.37May 28, 11:18 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 24, 8AM ET$238.75May 28, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 10, 9AM ET$0.01Mar 10, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 1, 9AM ET$0.01Mar 1, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 27, 10AM ET$0.02Feb 27, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 26, 9AM ET$0.01Feb 26, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 25, 4PM ET$0.01Feb 25, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 25, 10AM ET$0.04Feb 25, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 25, 9AM ET$0.21Feb 25, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 24, 9AM ET$0.51Feb 24, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 24, 8AM ET$1.39Feb 24, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 24, 8AM ET$1.94Feb 24, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 24, 8AM ET$4.17Feb 24, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 24, 8AM ET$1.23Feb 24, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 24, 8AM ET$0.71Feb 24, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 24, 8AM ET$0.40Feb 24, 13:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
51/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
10% win rate over 20 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
20 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $8.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 24, 11:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 11:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.