Calculating-Insurrection
0x54ca7124749c10af13d78ea7783dd1049ca3ca3a
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$18.20
Total PnL
$-99.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $350b on August 31?
13 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$13.03
$0.03
- NO
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by September 30?
2 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.13
$0.13
- NO
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$2.01
$0.01
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Manchester United wins the Premier League?
50000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Bournemouth wins the Premier League?
50000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 launch by September 30?$2.00Sep 16, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk's net worth be less than $350b on August 31?$13.00Sep 16, 04:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $100 in August?$2.00Sep 16, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $130 in August?$2.01Sep 16, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $140 in August?$2.02Sep 16, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $145 in August?$2.04Sep 16, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $150 in August?$2.08Sep 16, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $155 in August?$2.11Sep 16, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$2.00Aug 25, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$1.00Aug 25, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $100 in August?$2.00Aug 25, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $130 in August?$2.00Aug 25, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $140 in August?$2.00Aug 25, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $145 in August?$2.00Aug 25, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $155 in August?$2.00Aug 25, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $150 in August?$2.00Aug 25, 03:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 255 or more times July 18–25?$17.02Jul 30, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 255 or more times July 18–25?$17.00Jul 24, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down on July 18?$2.06Jul 24, 16:20 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down on July 18?$5.04Jul 24, 16:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $6.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 9, 22:57 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 16, 04:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".