Ripe-Cable
0x54d22f90ee51f224d1befe9f2843be85709a80e1
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$33.84
Total PnL
$-96.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Israel strike Syria by September 30?
23 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$22.73
$2.73
- NO
Will Russia capture Rodynske by September 30?
11 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$11.11
$1.11
- YES
Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?
2264 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
505 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Elon Musk tweets 25+ times Wednesday?
21 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?$10.00Nov 15, 03:07 UTC
- TRADESELLJimmy Kimmel hosts an episode of "Jimmy Kimmel Live!" by September 30?$0.06Sep 23, 04:48 UTC
- REDEEMOpenAI browser by August 31?$1.25Sep 23, 04:47 UTC
- REDEEMNew X CEO announced by August 31?$2.00Sep 23, 04:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cluely CEO Roy Lee get a girlfriend by August 31?$2.22Sep 23, 04:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?$2.28Sep 23, 04:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Grok have a MacOS desktop app live by August 31?$2.38Sep 23, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Rodynske by September 30?$10.00Sep 20, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Syria by September 30?$20.00Sep 20, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYJimmy Kimmel hosts an episode of "Jimmy Kimmel Live!" by September 30?$30.00Sep 20, 11:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill GPT-5 be released by August 10?$333.46Aug 8, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk tweets 25+ times Wednesday?$10.00Aug 6, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?$2.00Aug 6, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5 be released by August 10?$300.00Aug 6, 03:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-5 be released by August 15?$219.69Aug 6, 03:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI release an open source model before September?$0.00Aug 6, 03:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI release an open source model before September?$1.2KAug 6, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI browser by August 31?$1.00Aug 1, 13:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump lower tariffs on Canada by July 31?$2.04Aug 1, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release an open source model before September?$997.44Aug 1, 09:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $89.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 10:56 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 15, 03:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.