Twin-Draft
0x54d792883e7388f5e339777fee04ee3f9199e4cf
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$189.56
Total PnL
$-113.44
Realised
$100.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" during December FOMC Press Conference?
95 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2024$95.00
$37.05
- NO
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2024?
50 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$50.00
$1.50
- NO
X and Truth Social merger announced before August?
24 shares @ 84.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$23.64
$3.64
- YES
Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?
12 shares @ 84.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$11.83
$1.83
- YES
Will Jerome Powell say "cut" 7 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?
9 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2024$9.09
$4.00
- YES
Luigi Mangione extradited to New York in January?
370 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-184.92
- NO
Luigi Mangione extradited to New York before 2025?
250 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-75.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?
12 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2024$0.00
$-1.54
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.36Dec 18, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$0.75Dec 17, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYLuigi Mangione extradited to New York in January?$44.72Dec 14, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYLuigi Mangione extradited to New York in January?$51.75Dec 14, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYLuigi Mangione extradited to New York in January?$0.84Dec 13, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYLuigi Mangione extradited to New York in January?$10.00Dec 13, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYLuigi Mangione extradited to New York in January?$14.12Dec 13, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYLuigi Mangione extradited to New York in January?$17.00Dec 13, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYLuigi Mangione extradited to New York in January?$46.49Dec 13, 20:46 UTC
- TRADESELLLuigi Mangione extradited to New York before 2025?$157.08Dec 11, 00:50 UTC
- TRADESELLLuigi Mangione extradited to New York before 2025?$17.92Dec 11, 00:43 UTC
- REWARD$0.40Dec 11, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYLuigi Mangione extradited to New York before 2025?$150.00Dec 10, 10:44 UTC
- TRADESELL<180 MPs vote to impeach Yoon?$49.99Dec 9, 00:51 UTC
- TRADESELL<180 MPs vote to impeach Yoon?$70.00Dec 9, 00:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during NBC interview?$0.00Dec 8, 20:54 UTC
- REWARD$0.42Dec 8, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUY<180 MPs vote to impeach Yoon?$100.00Dec 7, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell say "tariff" during December FOMC Press Conference?$16.67Dec 7, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell say "tariff" during December FOMC Press Conference?$1.22Dec 7, 19:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $31.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 7, 06:17 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 18, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".