Unlined-Philosopher
0x54d83feea633184a6a728b837cf5048c35e92ecb
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$-59.54
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Pakistan military strike on India by Friday?
57812 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.8K
- NO
Pakistan air/missile strike on Indian soil by Friday?
16553 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2025$0.00
$-285.48
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?
417 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?
213 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS-China trade deal before June?$20.00May 15, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYPakistan air/missile strike on Indian soil by Friday?$10.00May 10, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYPakistan air/missile strike on Indian soil by Friday?$30.00May 10, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYPakistan air/missile strike on Indian soil by Friday?$21.00May 10, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYPakistan air/missile strike on Indian soil by Friday?$14.00May 10, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYPakistan air/missile strike on Indian soil by Friday?$16.00May 10, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYPakistan air/missile strike on Indian soil by Friday?$38.50May 10, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYPakistan military strike on India by Friday?$2.00May 9, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYPakistan air/missile strike on Indian soil by Friday?$74.90May 9, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYPakistan air/missile strike on Indian soil by Friday?$3.10May 9, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYPakistan air/missile strike on Indian soil by Friday?$78.00May 9, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYPakistan military strike on India by Friday?$1.97May 9, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYPakistan military strike on India by Friday?$8.03May 9, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYPakistan military strike on India by Friday?$9.61May 9, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYPakistan military strike on India by Friday?$40.00May 9, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$1.84May 9, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLPakistan air/missile strike on Indian soil by Friday?$755.77May 8, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYPakistan military strike on India by Friday?$82.06May 8, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYPakistan military strike on India by Friday?$169.94May 8, 13:39 UTC
- TRADESELLPakistan air/missile strike on Indian soil by Friday?$252.00May 8, 13:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $119.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 01:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 12:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.