Shimmering-Incentive
0x54e3ee1ee5f586b89cc491e45284d02fb055b1de
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-968.31
Realised
$18.89
Win rate
36%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
90 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-6.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
78 shares @ 19.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-14.91
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
75 shares @ 12.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-9.49
- OVER
Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 4.5
71 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-4.77
- OVER
AJ Auxerre vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 3.5
63 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.38
- YES
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?
57 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
52 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-19.75
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
52 shares @ 17.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-8.95
- ZHANG
Dubai Tennis Championships: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Zhizhen Zhang
50 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-4.50
- CAMILO UGO CARABELLI
BNP Paribas Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
50 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$16.62Mar 15, 19:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$0.17Mar 15, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$1.00Mar 15, 19:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$17.61Mar 15, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$34.03Mar 15, 19:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$34.04Mar 15, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$25.34Mar 15, 19:18 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$25.43Mar 15, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$22.38Mar 15, 19:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?$12.20Mar 15, 19:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-14?$10.18Mar 14, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$27.43Mar 13, 18:39 UTC
- REDEEMTampa Bay Rays vs. Detroit Tigers$4.04Mar 13, 18:38 UTC
- REDEEMMavericks vs. Grizzlies$7.81Mar 13, 18:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?$5.18Mar 12, 18:27 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$4.92Mar 12, 18:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?$5.16Mar 12, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Thunder (-6.5)$2.85Mar 12, 07:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fluminense FC win on 2026-03-12?$2.85Mar 12, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fluminense FC win on 2026-03-12?$2.90Mar 12, 07:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $8.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 05:16 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 15, 19:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".