Noxious-Philosophy
0x54e75e0f2df20a8bbc394d2c4786e2daf5c98d7f
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$10.01
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- RINA SAIGO
ITF Takasaki: Yufei Ren vs Rina Saigo
6 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$5.71
$1.71
- NO
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?
4 shares @ 69.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.29
$1.29
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
2099 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- NO
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?
31 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $130 Week of May 18 2026?
6 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 4?
3 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYITF Takasaki: Yufei Ren vs Rina Saigo$4.04May 19, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?$3.06May 19, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?$2.07May 19, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $130 Week of May 18 2026?$3.06May 19, 04:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill any country leave NATO in 2025?$2.03May 19, 04:57 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 5?$2.04May 19, 04:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by November 30?$2.50May 19, 04:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$55.38Nov 4, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any country leave NATO in 2025?$2.00Nov 4, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by November 30?$2.00Nov 4, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on November 4?$3.00Nov 4, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$60.00Nov 4, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 5?$2.00Nov 4, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$1.0KNov 4, 06:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
11 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $107.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 4, 06:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 04:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.