Far-Flung-Troop
0x54ea11bb74c2b2b198916d33127575e739ad4ae3
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$96.11
Total PnL
$-36.59
Realised
$-25.85
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in February?
90 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$90.00
$0.09
- NO
Will Mallorca win the 2025–26 La Liga?
4 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$3.60
$0.00
- NO
Will Trump deport 2,000,000 or more people?
3 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.51
$0.01
- NO
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
7 shares @ 99.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.90
- NO
Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged in 2025?
3 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.83
- YES
Will the New York Yankees win the AL East Division?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.16
- NO
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
2 shares @ 47.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $5,000 in February?$89.91Feb 17, 09:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Strasbourg win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?$4.29Feb 17, 09:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2025?$1.28Feb 17, 09:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?$2.80Feb 17, 09:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$5.91Feb 17, 09:17 UTC
- REDEEMTimberwolves vs. Warriors$8.50Feb 17, 09:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?$23.49Feb 17, 09:17 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$30.10Feb 17, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Warriors$3.57Dec 12, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?$23.40Dec 12, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$5.90Dec 12, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$29.80Dec 12, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Flash Gordon win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?$2.13Dec 12, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Celtics?$3.31Dec 12, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Monad perform an airdrop by December 31?$3.37Dec 12, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill HNP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$5.02Dec 12, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMRaptors vs. Nets$5.08Dec 12, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthony Albanese be the first leader out in 2025?$6.14Dec 12, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMGrizzlies vs. Knicks$8.34Dec 12, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $200k in October?$34.30Dec 12, 06:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $11.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 14:13 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 17, 09:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.