Nervous-Dragon
0x54ea8bcf09f704cf3c8604c0fcbf8073cc5aac1e
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$4.72
Total PnL
$-4.56
Realised
$-0.65
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Oviedo win the 2025–26 La Liga?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$2.00
$0.01
- NO
Will Athletic Club win the 2025–26 Champions League?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.64
$0.00
- NO
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2025?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.08
$0.08
- YES
Will Gene Hackman be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Ariana Grande be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Athletic Club win the 2025–26 Champions League?$319.04Dec 3, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Athletic Club win the 2025–26 Champions League?$321.00Dec 1, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ariana Grande be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$1.00Dec 1, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gene Hackman be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?$2.00Dec 1, 01:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?$321.67Dec 1, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Betis win the 2025–26 La Liga?$322.00Dec 1, 01:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oviedo win the 2025–26 La Liga?$324.68Dec 1, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oviedo win the 2025–26 La Liga?$327.00Dec 1, 01:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150K in June?$1.01Dec 1, 01:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Median" during June Press Conference?$1.04Dec 1, 01:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?$1.06Dec 1, 01:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $200 in June?$1.08Dec 1, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?$1.00Jun 13, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $200 in June?$1.00Jun 13, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150K in June?$1.00Jun 13, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Median" during June Press Conference?$1.00Jun 13, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 6% in 2025?$1.00Jun 13, 05:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jayson Tatum lead the NBA in scoring?$1.01Jun 13, 04:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$1.01Jun 13, 04:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon Diddy in his first 100 days?$1.02Jun 13, 04:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $63.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 24, 12:25 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 3, 02:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".