0x54f1e902d08c112b200d0b48365f6cf7fcb145c7
0x54f1e902d08c112b200d0b48365f6cf7fcb145c7
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$189.31
Total PnL
$-14.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
191 shares @ 68.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$129.08
$-0.96
- OVER
Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 2.5
208 shares @ 12.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$23.96
$-1.04
- DOWN
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 22, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
13 shares @ 78.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$12.72
$2.72
- YES
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Austria?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$5.36
$0.36
- YES
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Austria?
36 shares @ 14.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$5.18
$0.18
- YES
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?
23 shares @ 22.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$5.11
$0.11
- YES
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Austria?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$4.77
$-0.23
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
3 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$3.13
$1.13
- DOWN
BNB Up or Down - June 22, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
31 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
25 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$2.06Jun 22, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$2.08Jun 22, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$5.30Jun 22, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Austria?$5.16Jun 22, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Austria?$5.16Jun 22, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Austria?$5.15Jun 22, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - June 22, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$10.53Jun 22, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - June 22, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$10.20Jun 22, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 2.5$25.78Jun 22, 13:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Austria win on 2026-06-22?$4.44Jun 22, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?$5.14Jun 22, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win on 2026-06-22?$5.16Jun 22, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$131.94Jun 22, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?$0.00Jun 22, 09:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$45.45Jun 22, 09:36 UTC
- REDEEMBelgium vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 0.5$0.00Jun 22, 09:23 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Belgium 1 - 0 IR Iran?$0.00Jun 22, 09:23 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Belgium 1 - 0 IR Iran?$0.00Jun 22, 09:22 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Belgium 2 - 1 IR Iran?$0.00Jun 22, 06:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?$0.00Jun 22, 06:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $24.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 23:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 14:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.