Revolving-Cardboard
0x54f8ff188ce8cb51a0f414dadad8e4658457179b
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
69
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-37.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 69- YES
Will SV win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 105–119 times July 11–18?
8000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on week 1?
4003 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- NO
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
483 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 16?
210 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?
210 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
210 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
210 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$0.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 14?
175 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trần Cẩm Tú be the next President of Vietnam?$0.69Feb 1, 04:45 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Seahawks (-4.5)$9.42Feb 1, 04:45 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Seahawks (-5.5)$9.45Feb 1, 04:45 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$37.63Feb 1, 04:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trần Cẩm Tú be the next President of Vietnam?$51.16Feb 1, 04:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$58.87Feb 1, 04:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.88Feb 1, 04:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-01-22?$10.66Feb 1, 04:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?$10.95Feb 1, 04:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-01-22?$13.55Feb 1, 04:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-21?$15.09Feb 1, 04:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?$18.18Feb 1, 04:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Porto win on 2026-01-22?$18.18Feb 1, 04:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?$19.04Feb 1, 04:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-01-18?$20.00Feb 1, 04:44 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$85.76Feb 1, 04:44 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$99.52Feb 1, 04:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 5AM ET$5.00Jan 18, 05:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-07?$9.85Jan 18, 05:20 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)$11.26Jan 18, 05:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $20.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 18, 05:19 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 1, 04:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.