Drab-Bustle
0x54fde20fa60e932fc480071e05695b42caa94ac3
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
37
Open notional
$14.5K
Total PnL
$-962.63
Realised
$-202.88
Win rate
50%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Will CopperTech Metals not IPO before September 2026?
2863 shares @ 90.2¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$2.8K
$216.68
- NO
Will Safepoint's market cap be between $1.1B and $1.3B at market close on IPO day?
2164 shares @ 81.8¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$2.1K
$369.08
- YES
Will Starbucks (SBUX) beat quarterly earnings?
2344 shares @ 75.4¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$2.1K
$353.10
- YES
Will Safepoint not IPO before August 2026?
1885 shares @ 75.6¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$1.9K
$439.23
- NO
Will IonQ (IONQ) beat quarterly earnings?
1303 shares @ 89.6¢·now 93.5¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$1.2K
$50.49
- NO
Will Safepoint's market cap be between $900M and $1.1B at market close on IPO day?
857 shares @ 68.8¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$852.26
$263.35
- NO
Will Jersey Mike's Subs' market cap be between $9.5B and $11B at market close on IPO day?
732 shares @ 89.8¢·now 94.3¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$689.80
$33.00
- NO
Will Jersey Mike's Subs' market cap be between $8B and $9.5B at market close on IPO day?
735 shares @ 68.7¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$609.89
$105.22
- YES
Will Grab (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings?
1005 shares @ 46.9¢·now 51.5¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$517.58
$45.73
- YES
Will Tarsier Pharma not IPO before September 2026?
560 shares @ 74.9¢·now 90.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$504.28
$84.83
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Boeing say "Oil" during earnings call?$46.58Jul 28, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roblox (RBLX) beat quarterly earnings?$28.74Jul 28, 22:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Tesla" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of July 27?$50.00Jul 28, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starbucks (SBUX) beat quarterly earnings?$106.25Jul 28, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starbucks (SBUX) beat quarterly earnings?$122.10Jul 28, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Boeing say "Oil" during earnings call?$46.13Jul 28, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Tesla" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of July 27?$49.95Jul 28, 20:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Boeing say "Artemis" during earnings call?$145.00Jul 28, 19:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Boeing say "Airbus" during earnings call?$59.98Jul 28, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Boeing say "Airbus" during earnings call?$59.40Jul 28, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Boeing say "Artemis" during earnings call?$144.86Jul 28, 16:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill PayPal say "Transaction" 5+ times during earnings call?$226.00Jul 28, 14:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Safepoint's market cap be between $1.1B and $1.3B at market close on IPO day?$196.38Jul 28, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PayPal say "Transaction" 5+ times during earnings call?$225.71Jul 28, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jersey Mike's Subs' market cap be between $11B and $12.5B at market close on IPO day?$9.30Jul 28, 00:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Warby Parker (WRBY) beat quarterly earnings?$71.07Jul 27, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jersey Mike's Subs' market cap be at least $12.5B at market close on IPO day?$18.20Jul 27, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jersey Mike's Subs' market cap be between $11B and $12.5B at market close on IPO day?$18.60Jul 27, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jersey Mike's Subs' market cap be between $8B and $9.5B at market close on IPO day?$510.99Jul 27, 10:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026?$99.76Jul 27, 09:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $95.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 07:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 22:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.