Slushy-Cloister
0x5503c298a6dc1b102944a4329fb13694dfab1248
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$63.81
Total PnL
$-2.77
Realised
$8.04
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 19?
20 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$19.99
$3.19
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 21?
20 shares @ 91.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$19.10
$0.90
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on August 20?
20 shares @ 91.6¢·now 93.5¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$18.70
$0.38
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 19?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$5.00
$2.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 21?
15 shares @ 6.0¢·now 5.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$0.76
$-0.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on August 20?
3 shares @ 4.0¢·now 3.5¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$0.11
$-0.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on August 20?
5 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.8¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$0.09
$0.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 20?
3 shares @ 3.0¢·now 1.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$0.03
$-0.06
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on August 20?
1 shares @ 3.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$0.03
$-0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 19?
16 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$0.01
$-11.83
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on August 20?$0.08Aug 19, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on August 20?$0.12Aug 19, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on August 20?$0.04Aug 19, 22:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on August 19?$13.00Aug 19, 22:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 19?$0.00Aug 19, 22:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 19?$0.00Aug 19, 22:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on August 19?$0.00Aug 19, 22:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on August 19?$0.00Aug 19, 22:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on August 19?$0.00Aug 19, 22:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on August 19?$13.00Aug 19, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 21?$18.20Aug 19, 16:07 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on August 20?$16.12Aug 19, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on August 20?$10.80Aug 19, 16:00 UTC
- MERGEWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on August 20?$3.70Aug 19, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on August 20?$2.70Aug 19, 10:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 18?$0.00Aug 19, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 19?$2.50Aug 19, 07:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 18?$0.00Aug 19, 07:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 18?$0.00Aug 19, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on August 20?$17.20Aug 19, 06:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $4.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 18, 07:22 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 19, 22:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.