Muffled-Alpenglow
0x55163888325d570f2461c5b68b9652fdca132a55
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-41.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Will Israel strike Syria by September 15?
1333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35-40 million views on day 1?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 45-50 million views on day 1?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50-55 million views on day 1?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Turkish president on September 25?
133 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 25, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
17 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.99
- NO
Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" this week? (February 22)
15 shares @ 32.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
15 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
14 shares @ 20.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance say "Radical Left" during the fundraiser?$1.00Feb 16, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance say "Illegal" during the fundraiser?$1.00Feb 16, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the fundraiser?$1.00Feb 16, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance say "Iran" or "Ukraine" during the fundraiser?$1.00Feb 16, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week? (February 22)$2.00Feb 16, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (February 22)$2.00Feb 16, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Sleepy Joe" this week? (February 22)$5.00Feb 16, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$2.00Feb 16, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$2.00Feb 16, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$1.00Feb 16, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$2.00Feb 16, 11:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$0.81Feb 16, 11:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$5.19Feb 16, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$2.00Feb 16, 11:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$0.09Feb 16, 11:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$3.11Feb 16, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$1.00Feb 16, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$2.00Feb 16, 11:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$3.41Feb 16, 10:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$0.00Feb 16, 10:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 14, 16:58 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 16, 12:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".