Afraid-Sultan
0x551d18cfb422c17ffb58a90cc0f817f520a814c9
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
114
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.0K
Realised
$44.80
Win rate
63%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 114- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
2137 shares @ 49.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
1964 shares @ 48.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-944.07
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
1137 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-99.84
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 11AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
730 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-104.60
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
547 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-14.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
510 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
500 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-16.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
383 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-206.76
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
357 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-89.21
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$2.35Jun 24, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$10.00Apr 14, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$2.00Apr 14, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$2.00Apr 8, 14:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$2.18Apr 3, 13:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$0.00Apr 3, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$2.00Apr 3, 13:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$2.28Apr 3, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$2.00Apr 3, 13:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$20.26Apr 2, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$10.00Apr 2, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$20.89Apr 2, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$10.00Apr 2, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$10.00Apr 2, 05:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$0.00Mar 31, 12:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$0.00Mar 31, 12:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$418.62Mar 30, 14:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$0.00Mar 30, 14:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$0.00Mar 30, 14:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$0.00Mar 30, 14:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
41/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
63% win rate over 16 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
16 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $9.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 28, 10:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 24, 07:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.