Trained-Horde
0x551de4d5ffb6e2b75740719d42dba174ec194afe
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$294.93
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
435 shares @ 35.3¢·now 40.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$176.29
$22.59
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
371 shares @ 27.0¢·now 32.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$118.65
$18.54
- YES
Will Wisconsin win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
15417 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-92.50
- YES
Will Vanderbilt win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
11523 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-127.69
- YES
Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
4477 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-161.17
- TIMBERWOLVES
Timberwolves vs. Spurs
2503 shares @ 11.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-295.10
- WOLVES
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves
2100 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-279.99
- YES
Will Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
1000 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-97.00
- WILD
Wild vs. Avalanche
583 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-210.00
- YES
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
500 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-95.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 19, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 16, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 12, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 9, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 7, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 3, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.