Early-People
0x551efb0fb6a8a5dead1c49b168e7b9bfd6cda42d
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$408.76
Total PnL
$-482.82
Realised
$26.48
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
1236 shares @ 18.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$129.81
$-92.72
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
200 shares @ 63.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$77.00
$-49.00
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
111 shares @ 54.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$61.67
$1.67
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
84 shares @ 80.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$47.31
$-19.69
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
156 shares @ 25.7¢·now 25.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$39.30
$-0.70
- YES
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
938 shares @ 7.9¢·now 2.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$22.05
$-52.07
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
200 shares @ 49.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.00
$-83.00
- YES
JD Vance out as VP by December 31?
150 shares @ 10.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.25
$-0.75
- YES
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
110 shares @ 14.0¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$1.81
$-13.59
- YES
Will Iván Cepeda win between 30% and 35% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?
110 shares @ 22.7¢·now 0.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.55
$-24.45
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$325.43Jun 4, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$25.05Jun 4, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$104.15Jun 4, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$104.91Jun 4, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$26.71Jun 4, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$26.66Jun 4, 09:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$41.19Jun 2, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$61.10Jun 2, 07:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$389.79Jun 1, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$106.17Jun 1, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$106.16Jun 1, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$121.51Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$7.43May 30, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?$10.65May 30, 17:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$103.49May 30, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$29.15May 30, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda win between 30% and 35% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?$25.77May 29, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$101.44May 29, 11:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $54.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 26, 03:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 09:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".