Immediate-Newsletter
0x551fd1e01a971b4142118e0fde66d5b4b2b4b69d
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-183.13
Realised
$-3.48
Win rate
30%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - March 30, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
247 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-17.72
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - March 30, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
159 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.10
- UP
XRP Up or Down - March 30, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
140 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-9.50
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
81 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.49
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - March 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
74 shares @ 17.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-13.33
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
73 shares @ 20.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-14.85
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
65 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
50 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
43 shares @ 69.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
38 shares @ 39.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-14.78
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$13.73May 16, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$30.65May 16, 20:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$39.78May 16, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$31.43May 16, 20:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$34.08May 16, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$15.87May 16, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$5.23May 16, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$5.24May 16, 20:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$0.00May 16, 20:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$6.65May 16, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$5.22May 16, 20:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$10.00May 16, 20:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$11.22May 16, 20:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$2.92May 16, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$5.21May 16, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$5.24May 16, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$5.19May 16, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$5.17May 16, 20:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.69May 16, 20:15 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - March 30, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$0.00Mar 31, 01:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
30% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 39/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $11.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 23:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 20:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.