Impossible-Order
0x55293da543af30d284d25ce9ed9f63c39c71862e
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$36.75
Total PnL
$-532.45
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on July 10?
23 shares @ 96.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$22.63
$0.81
- NO
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 Week of July 20 2026?
16 shares @ 88.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$14.12
$0.00
- YES
Will MFK Karviná win on 2026-03-15?
300 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-75.00
- UNDER
SG Dynamo Dresden vs. SC Preußen Münster: O/U 4.5
288 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-224.64
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on January 19?
281 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-25.32
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on March 6?
195 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-7.03
- NO
Will Solana reach $200 in July?
177 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-151.90
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on February 15?
163 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.12
- YES
Will Palantir dip to $150 in December?
162 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.40
- YES
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at <$215 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 19 – Jan 23?
148 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 Week of July 20 2026?$14.12Jul 21, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on July 10?$21.82Jul 8, 14:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 7?$15.18Jul 8, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 7?$15.00Jul 6, 09:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 3?$27.78Jul 4, 11:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $0.80 in June?$19.07Jul 2, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 3?$27.06Jul 1, 07:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 26?$15.62Jun 30, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $0.80 in June?$18.97Jun 29, 12:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 26?$14.74Jun 29, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 26?$17.17Jun 29, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 25?$9.06Jun 25, 20:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 25?$16.55Jun 25, 20:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 25?$19.14Jun 25, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 25?$8.92Jun 23, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 25?$18.97Jun 23, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 25?$16.05Jun 23, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 26?$15.31Jun 23, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 26?$13.56Jun 23, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 26?$17.00Jun 23, 04:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $71.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 26, 07:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 13:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.