Hairy-Item-Logo
0x552bcf53c3c980a158a91e631ff0c4e8207ef8bc
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$10.02
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$3.0K
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by July 31?
455 shares @ 3.3¢·now 2.2¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$10.02
$-4.98
- YES
Morocco leading at halftime?
8893 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-449.98
- MOROCCO
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)
7763 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-118.37
- YES
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 2 England?
4465 shares @ 16.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-754.17
- YES
Colombia leading at halftime?
4147 shares @ 20.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-856.25
- YES
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?
4107 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-274.99
- NATIONAL LEAGUE
MLB All-Star Game
3481 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-44.00
- YES
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?
2938 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-29.38
- DARWIN BLANCH
Lincoln: Darwin Blanch vs Bernard Tomic
2825 shares @ 16.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-475.00
- MOROCCO
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
2500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCordenons: Andrej Nedic vs Enrico Dalla Valle$5.90Jul 15, 12:26 UTC
- TRADESELLCordenons: Andrej Nedic vs Enrico Dalla Valle$5.52Jul 15, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYCordenons: Andrej Nedic vs Enrico Dalla Valle$45.29Jul 15, 12:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Female" this week?$1.50Jul 15, 12:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?$15.04Jul 15, 12:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Laurence Fox get second place in the Clacton by-election?$1.78Jul 15, 12:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$4.21Jul 15, 12:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?$7.31Jul 15, 12:08 UTC
- TRADESELLDota 2: Vici Gaming vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner$7.27Jul 15, 12:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$7.96Jul 15, 12:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$0.00Jul 15, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF Astana: Ekaterina Maklakova vs Ksenia Laskutova$65.87Jul 15, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF Astana: Ekaterina Maklakova vs Ksenia Laskutova$147.84Jul 15, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$25.89Jul 15, 04:44 UTC
- TRADESELLLincoln: Darwin Blanch vs Bernard Tomic$57.88Jul 15, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYLincoln: Darwin Blanch vs Bernard Tomic$31.41Jul 15, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYLincoln: Darwin Blanch vs Bernard Tomic$20.88Jul 15, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYLincoln: Darwin Blanch vs Bernard Tomic$78.16Jul 15, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYLincoln: Darwin Blanch vs Bernard Tomic$52.10Jul 15, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYLincoln: Darwin Blanch vs Bernard Tomic$311.71Jul 15, 04:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
11/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $88.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 15, 03:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 12:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.