Large-Pastor
0x55593894c5f5ba8e80b568fa34a69e7b81f72bd2
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$199.38
Total PnL
$-317.74
Realised
$-0.12
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
311 shares @ 15.8¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$35.73
$-13.27
- ARGENTINA
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
63 shares @ 40.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$25.31
$0.31
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
66 shares @ 30.2¢·now 37.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$24.80
$4.80
- UNDER
New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5
48 shares @ 52.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$23.80
$-1.20
- YES
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1538 shares @ 1.3¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$17.69
$-2.31
- NO
Will Australia finish second in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
38 shares @ 40.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$14.44
$-0.56
- YES
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
769 shares @ 1.3¢·now 1.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$11.15
$1.15
- NO
Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
16 shares @ 64.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$10.47
$0.47
- YES
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1273 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.55
$-4.45
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
157 shares @ 6.4¢·now 5.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$8.41
$-1.59
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Australia finish second in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$15.27Jun 22, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5$25.36Jun 22, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Argentina (-1.5)$25.45Jun 22, 07:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 22, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMTunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5$32.61Jun 21, 06:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 21, 00:18 UTC
- REDEEMGermany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5$40.32Jun 20, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYTunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5$15.24Jun 20, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win on 2026-06-20?$10.24Jun 20, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYGermany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5$25.28Jun 20, 13:51 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Brazil (-2.5)$169.81Jun 20, 02:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Morocco win on 2026-06-19?$175.44Jun 20, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 20, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Brazil (-2.5)$91.27Jun 19, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-19?$101.29Jun 19, 09:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 19, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia win on 2026-06-18?$18.25Jun 18, 09:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 18, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$14.54Jun 17, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5$25.34Jun 17, 10:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $26.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 20:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 12:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.