Noisy-Willingness
0x555d674718a43e2896da976ee44202fbf49e5582
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
54
Open notional
$74.59
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$34.31
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
175 shares @ 17.1¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$27.98
$-2.02
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
222 shares @ 9.0¢·now 8.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$19.44
$-0.56
- YES
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$16.67
$-3.33
- YES
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.50
$0.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
603 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
472 shares @ 31.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
254 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-109.33
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
220 shares @ 45.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
182 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
149 shares @ 60.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-90.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$20.29Jun 5, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$20.21Jun 5, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$20.20Jun 5, 14:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$52.43Jun 5, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$20.69Jun 5, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$20.67Jun 5, 14:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$27.26Jun 5, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$20.41Jun 5, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$8.12Jun 5, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$31.32Jun 5, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$20.81Jun 5, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$20.90Jun 5, 13:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$50.50Jun 5, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$20.85Jun 5, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$20.60Jun 5, 13:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$28.89Jun 5, 13:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$0.52Jun 5, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$20.46Jun 5, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$1.62Jun 5, 13:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$50.14Jun 5, 13:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $38.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 08:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 14:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".